Eh True so he must have known something else my point is just that what you said isn't really a plot hole cause Jiraiya most likly didnt know about anything Madara said to Sasuke
The plot hole is that Jirayia said that it was KNOWN to be a natural disaster.
Note that Jirayia has a lot of contacts, so he probably knew what was going on with them. He also apparently knew about the Uchiha's powers to control the Kyuubi, yet at the same time, he knew it was impossible for any Uchiha other than Madara to try destroying it.
Also, I notice Itachi's version of the story is much different.
See the fear in his brother's eyes? Does that look like the expression of a man who WILLINGLY ALLOWED his eyes to be taken? He also said that Madara became POSSESED by his Mangekyou Sharingan.
Itachi also said that Madara was behind the Kyuubi's attack.